Brett McGurk is a CNN global affairs analyst who served in senior national security positions under Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

Israel just launched airstrikes in the capital of Qatar, targeting Hamas’s political leadership. So, what happens now?

The Israeli operation is not entirely surprising. Hamas’s leaders have been dead men walking since October 7, 2023, after Hamas invaded Israel, massacred over 1,000 Israelis, and took nearly 250 more as hostages. Israel has made clear since then that it will target every Hamas leader whether inside Gaza or abroad and they have acted on that commitment.

So, this operation could be viewed as a long time coming.

But an event that’s not surprising, can still be shocking. That’s how I’d describe what just happened, for three reasons:

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